We have these plays today:
National Basketball Association:
76ERS -6.5 -105 over Knicks
NETS +130 over Bulls (OR +2.5 -103)
PISTONS -6.0 -105 at Bucks
HORNETS -2.0 -112 over Mavericks
Mavericks at Hornets OVER 190.0 +100
LAKERS +139 at Suns (OR +3.5 -108)
KINGS -5.5 -108 over Hawks
WARRIORS +124 over Celtics
National Hockey League:
LIGHTNING +140 at Sabres (OR +1.5 -201)
DEVILS -1.5 +210 over Sharks (OR -135)
ISLANDERS +1.5 -210 at Capitals (OR +139)
BLACKHAWKS +1.5 -246 over Wild
Comments:
Note that we're risking '100' on the Devils -1.5 +210, and that we're risking the same amount ('100') on the Islanders +1.5 -210...Even though we're risking '100' on both bets, the Devils' play is more than twice as important to us than the Islanders' play. Once we risk '100' on the Devils, the bookmaker must pledge '210' against us. Whether we win or lose makes a difference of '310' - the '100' we risked, plus the '210' we won. We either get back '310' from the bookmaker, or nothing. When we risk '100' on the Islanders, the bookmaker has to pledge only '48' of his own money. We either get back '148' from the bookmaker, or nothing - the '100' we risked, plus the '48' from the bookmaker.
We're risking the same on both bets, ('100'), but we're forcing the bookmaker to risk more than 4 times as much on one bet as the other, ('48' v. '210'). That positions him into an inherent weakness...His position is contrary to his efforts to "balance" his risks.
Good luck. - J. R. Miller
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