|
Many sports bettors rarely use moneylines against certain sports, such as basketball or football, because they are simply more familiar with and more comfortable with pointspreads. A pointspread can be regarded as a much simpler proposition. After all, if you're betting on the Buffalo Bills +3.5 points, you not only know what it takes to win the bet, (Buffalo can either win the game outright or lose the game by fewer than 3.5 points), you also 'automatically' know how much you're going to win. You simply risk 105 to win 100 with Buffalo +3.5 or you could lay the 3.5 points and risk 105 to win 100 on Buffalo's opponents. (Some sportbooks still use a 20-cent line wherein the bettor must risk 110 to win 100. Those sportbooks should be avoided, of course.) Moneylines are not so simple as pointspreads. Many bettors are confused by the odds, but if you're not using moneylines on certain bets you are most likely costing yourself money. For example, with Buffalo getting +3.5 points, they might be +150 on the moneyline. If you think the Bills should actually win the game outright, you should consider taking the +150 moneyline rather than laying the -105 pointspread line. If Buffalo goes on to win the game, a $100 bet on the pointspread wins only $95 while a $100 bet on the moneyline wins $150. Only two such moneyline victories wins more than three pointspread victories. In the chart at right, notice that when risking $100 the difference between winning when laying -250 and when laying -300 is less than $7, ($40.00 v. $33.33), but the difference between winning when you're getting +250 or when you're getting +300 is, of course, $50. Laying -400 wins $25, laying -500 wins $20 - a $5 difference - but the difference between winning when you're getting +400 and when you're getting +500 is, of course, $100. Note that if you always risk the same amount ("flat" betting) when using moneylines, you're forcing the bookmaker to risk wildly different amounts against you. It is common knowledge than bookmakers generally prefer to keep their risks somewhat equal, not wildly different.
/// ///
J.R. MILLER'S book,
HOW PROFESSIONAL GAMBLERS BEAT
THE PRO FOOTBALL POINTSPREAD, is the ONLY book of its kind recommended to
libraries as Core Reading Material by Jack Short, past president, American Library
Trustees' Association.
/// A Bit About Betting Systems A Crash Course in Vigorish An Important Thing to Know
The Best Way to Gamble
Endorsements & Testimonials
How to Beat NFL Preseason
Winning Percentages ///
|
If the |
Amount |
Percent |
Amount |
Percent |
||||||||
1.05 |
95.24 |
51% |
105.00 |
49% |
|||||||||
1.10 |
90.91 |
52% |
110.00 |
48% |
|||||||||
1.15 |
86.96 |
53% |
115.00 |
47% |
|||||||||
1.20 |
83.33 |
55% |
120.00 |
45% |
|||||||||
1.25 |
80.00 |
56% |
125.00 |
44% |
|||||||||
1.30 |
76.92 |
57% |
130.00 |
43% |
|||||||||
1.35 |
74.07 |
57% |
135.00 |
43% |
|||||||||
1.40 |
71.43 |
58% |
140.00 |
42% |
|||||||||
1.45 |
68.97 |
59% |
145.00 |
41% |
|||||||||
1.50 |
66.67 |
60% |
150.00 |
40% |
|||||||||
1.55 |
64.52 |
61% |
155.00 |
39% |
|||||||||
1.60 |
62.50 |
62% |
160.00 |
38% |
|||||||||
1.65 |
60.61 |
62% |
165.00 |
38% |
|||||||||
1.70 |
58.82 |
63% |
170.00 |
37% |
|||||||||
1.75 |
57.14 |
64% |
175.00 |
36% |
|||||||||
1.80 |
55.56 |
64% |
180.00 |
36% |
|||||||||
1.85 |
54.05 |
65% |
185.00 |
35% |
|||||||||
1.90 |
52.63 |
66% |
190.00 |
34% |
|||||||||
1.95 |
51.28 |
66% |
195.00 |
34% |
|||||||||
2.00 |
50.00 |
67% |
200.00 |
33% |
|||||||||
2.05 |
48.78 |
67% |
205.00 |
33% |
|||||||||
2.10 |
47.62 |
68% |
210.00 |
32% |
|||||||||
2.15 |
46.51 |
68% |
215.00 |
32% |
|||||||||
2.20 |
45.45 |
69% |
220.00 |
31% |
|||||||||
2.25 |
44.44 |
69% |
225.00 |
31% |
|||||||||
2.30 |
43.48 |
70% |
230.00 |
30% |
|||||||||
2.35 |
42.55 |
70% |
235.00 |
30% |
|||||||||
2.40 |
41.67 |
71% |
240.00 |
29% |
|||||||||
2.45 |
40.82 |
71% |
245.00 |
29% |
|||||||||
2.50 |
40.00 |
71% |
250.00 |
29% |
|||||||||
2.55 |
39.22 |
72% |
255.00 |
28% |
|||||||||
2.60 |
38.46 |
72% |
260.00 |
28% |
|||||||||
2.65 |
37.74 |
73% |
265.00 |
27% |
|||||||||
2.70 |
37.04 |
73% |
270.00 |
27% |
|||||||||
2.75 |
36.36 |
73% |
275.00 |
27% |
|||||||||
2.80 |
35.71 |
74% |
280.00 |
26% |
|||||||||
2.85 |
35.09 |
74% |
285.00 |
26% |
|||||||||
2.90 |
34.48 |
74% |
290.00 |
26% |
|||||||||
2.95 |
33.90 |
75% |
295.00 |
25% |
|||||||||
3.00 |
33.33 |
75% |
300.00 |
25% |
|||||||||
3.05 |
32.79 |
75% |
305.00 |
25% |
|||||||||
3.10 |
32.26 |
76% |
310.00 |
24% |
|||||||||
3.15 |
31.75 |
76% |
315.00 |
24% |
|||||||||
3.20 |
31.25 |
76% |
320.00 |
24% |
|||||||||
3.25 |
30.77 |
76% |
325.00 |
24% |
|||||||||
3.30 |
30.30 |
77% |
330.00 |
23% |
|||||||||
3.35 |
29.85 |
77% |
335.00 |
23% |
|||||||||
3.40 |
29.41 |
77% |
340.00 |
23% |
|||||||||
3.45 |
28.99 |
78% |
345.00 |
22% |
|||||||||
3.50 |
28.57 |
78% |
350.00 |
22% |
|||||||||
3.55 |
28.17 |
78% |
355.00 |
22% |
|||||||||
3.60 |
27.78 |
78% |
360.00 |
22% |
|||||||||
3.65 |
27.40 |
78% |
365.00 |
22% |
|||||||||
3.70 |
27.03 |
79% |
370.00 |
21% |
|||||||||
3.75 |
26.67 |
79% |
375.00 |
21% |
|||||||||
3.80 |
26.32 |
79% |
380.00 |
21% |
|||||||||
3.85 |
25.97 |
79% |
385.00 |
21% |
|||||||||
3.90 |
25.64 |
80% |
390.00 |
20% |
|||||||||
3.95 |
25.32 |
80% |
395.00 |
20% |
|||||||||
4.00 |
25.00 |
80% |
400.00 |
20% |
|||||||||
4.05 |
24.69 |
80% |
405.00 |
20% |
|||||||||
4.10 |
24.39 |
80% |
410.00 |
20% |
|||||||||
4.15 |
24.10 |
81% |
415.00 |
19% |
|||||||||
4.20 |
23.81 |
81% |
420.00 |
19% |
|||||||||
4.25 |
23.53 |
81% |
425.00 |
19% |
|||||||||
4.30 |
23.26 |
81% |
430.00 |
19% |
|||||||||
4.35 |
22.99 |
81% |
435.00 |
19% |
|||||||||
4.40 |
22.73 |
81% |
440.00 |
19% |
|||||||||
4.45 |
22.47 |
82% |
445.00 |
18% |
|||||||||
4.50 |
22.22 |
82% |
450.00 |
18% |
|||||||||
4.55 |
21.98 |
82% |
455.00 |
18% |
|||||||||
4.60 |
21.74 |
82% |
460.00 |
18% |
|||||||||
4.65 |
21.51 |
82% |
465.00 |
18% |
|||||||||
4.70 |
21.28 |
82% |
470.00 |
18% |
|||||||||
4.75 |
21.05 |
83% |
475.00 |
17% |
|||||||||
4.80 |
20.83 |
83% |
480.00 |
17% |
|||||||||
4.85 |
20.62 |
83% |
485.00 |
17% |
|||||||||
4.90 |
20.41 |
83% |
490.00 |
17% |
|||||||||
4.95 |
20.20 |
83% |
495.00 |
17% |
|||||||||
5.00 |
20.00 |
83% |
500.00 |
17% |
|||||||||
5.05 |
19.80 |
83% |
505.00 |
17% |
|||||||||
5.10 |
19.61 |
84% |
510.00 |
16% |
|||||||||
5.15 |
19.42 |
84% |
515.00 |
16% |
|||||||||
5.20 |
19.23 |
84% |
520.00 |
16% |
|||||||||
5.25 |
19.05 |
84% |
525.00 |
16% |
|||||||||
5.30 |
18.87 |
84% |
530.00 |
16% |
|||||||||
5.35 |
18.69 |
84% |
535.00 |
16% |
|||||||||
5.40 |
18.52 |
84% |
540.00 |
16% |
|||||||||
5.45 |
18.35 |
84% |
545.00 |
16% |
|||||||||
5.50 |
18.18 |
85% |
550.00 |
15% |
|||||||||
5.55 |
18.02 |
85% |
555.00 |
15% |
|||||||||
5.60 |
17.86 |
85% |
560.00 |
15% |
|||||||||
5.65 |
17.70 |
85% |
565.00 |
15% |
|||||||||
5.70 |
17.54 |
85% |
570.00 |
15% |
|||||||||
5.75 |
17.39 |
85% |
575.00 |
15% |
|||||||||
5.80 |
17.24 |
85% |
580.00 |
15% |
|||||||||
5.85 |
17.09 |
85% |
585.00 |
15% |
|||||||||
5.90 |
16.95 |
86% |
590.00 |
14% |
|||||||||
5.95 |
16.81 |
86% |
595.00 |
14% |
|||||||||
6.00 |
16.67 |
86% |
600.00 |
14% |
|||||||||
6.05 |
16.53 |
86% |
605.00 |
14% |
|||||||||
6.10 |
16.39 |
86% |
610.00 |
14% |
|||||||||
6.15 |
16.26 |
86% |
615.00 |
14% |
|||||||||
6.20 |
16.13 |
86% |
620.00 |
14% |
|||||||||
6.25 |
16.00 |
86% |
625.00 |
14% |
|||||||||
6.30 |
15.87 |
86% |
630.00 |
14% |
|||||||||
6.35 |
15.75 |
86% |
635.00 |
14% |
|||||||||
6.40 |
15.63 |
86% |
640.00 |
14% |
|||||||||
6.45 |
15.50 |
87% |
645.00 |
13% |
|||||||||
6.50 |
15.38 |
87% |
650.00 |
13% |
|||||||||
6.55 |
15.27 |
87% |
655.00 |
13% |
|||||||||
6.60 |
15.15 |
87% |
660.00 |
13% |
|||||||||
6.65 |
15.04 |
87% |
665.00 |
13% |
|||||||||
6.70 |
14.93 |
87% |
670.00 |
13% |
|||||||||
6.75 |
14.81 |
87% |
675.00 |
13% |
|||||||||
6.80 |
14.71 |
87% |
680.00 |
13% |
|||||||||
6.85 |
14.60 |
87% |
685.00 |
13% |
|||||||||
6.90 |
14.49 |
87% |
690.00 |
13% |
|||||||||
6.95 |
14.39 |
87% |
695.00 |
13% |
|||||||||
7.00 |
14.29 |
88% |
700.00 |
13% |
|||||||||
7.05 |
14.18 |
88% |
705.00 |
12% |
|||||||||
7.10 |
14.08 |
88% |
710.00 |
12% |
|||||||||
7.15 |
13.99 |
88% |
715.00 |
12% |
|||||||||
7.20 |
13.89 |
88% |
720.00 |
12% |
|||||||||
7.25 |
13.79 |
88% |
725.00 |
12% |
|||||||||
7.30 |
13.70 |
88% |
730.00 |
12% |
|||||||||
7.35 |
13.61 |
88% |
735.00 |
12% |
|||||||||
7.40 |
13.51 |
88% |
740.00 |
12% |
|||||||||
7.45 |
13.42 |
88% |
745.00 |
12% |
|||||||||
7.50 |
13.33 |
88% |
750.00 |
12% |
|||||||||
7.55 |
13.25 |
88% |
755.00 |
12% |
|||||||||
7.60 |
13.16 |
88% |
760.00 |
12% |
|||||||||
7.65 |
13.07 |
88% |
765.00 |
12% |
|||||||||
7.70 |
12.99 |
89% |
770.00 |
11% |
|||||||||
7.75 |
12.90 |
89% |
775.00 |
11% |
|||||||||
7.80 |
12.82 |
89% |
780.00 |
11% |
|||||||||
