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Tracking here since 1997!
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Check these articles!
Pro Gamblers
Letters from Gamblers
Parlays & Profit
Top 10
Ways to Lose Against Sports
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Check these articles!
The Best Way to Gamble
Parlays & Profit
Pro
Gamblers
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TRACK US
Below are today's picks, posted as games begin, monitored by YOU!
/// Below is a running record of picks published in Professional Gambler Newsletter, emailed every day to subscribers, posted here as games
begin. We post these picks for your information. If you 'track' us we ask that you
reserve judgment for at least 100 observations, (200+ is preferable). We expect to
gain between 40 and 120 betting units per 1,000 picks - (but not EVERY 1,000 picks) - and
we expect upwards of 2,000 picks per year. YOUR results figure to be better
than ours due to your ability to shop for lines, which cannot be accounted for in record
below.
To visitors and non-subscribers:
One difference between full-time bettors and amateurs is their number of opinions. Keep in
mind, the goal is to make money, - not necessarily to tally a high percentage of
wins. Professionals are only incidentally concerned with winning percentages, - the
goal is to make money. As strange it may sound to non-pros, a 60% (or more)
winning percentage against "11-10" bets over the long term is actually too
high! A pro will usually pull the trigger if he thinks he has about a 55%-or-more
expectation of winning. See our article Winning Percentages
for a fuller explanation. In short, please compare our profits - not our
percentages - to judge our value. We try to maintain a winning percentage
of around 55%-58%, including as many plays as possible.
NOTE: A betting 'unit' is NOT the amount one
hopes to win,
but the amount put at risk. When risking 110 to win 100, the betting unit is 110, not 100.
The amount won when risking 11 to win 10 is 91% of a unit, not a full unit. This can
make it appear below that we win less than we actually do. To "keep score"
below, we risk "100" on all bets, (as in 100 PERCENT). If you're varying the
sizes of your bets and risking different amounts on different bets - as most amateurs do -
it is costing you money. (This is one of the reasons we do not pay to be involved with
sports monitors such as BIG GUY Sports, which requires risking different amounts on
different bets. When we resigned from BIG GUY we were Number One ahead of more than
60 other competitors. It was an excellent way to promote ourselves, but it
is BAD ADVICE to consistently vary the size of your bets.)
NOTE: We tend to be underdog bettors
against moneylines, so our winning percentage tends to be less against money lines than
against 11-10 bets, but our return on investment is often higher. Be aware that
whether we're betting on moneyline underdogs or favorites, the amount we risk is
exactly the same, - one unit. For example, if our betting unit was 100, we'd
risk 100 to win 67 on a -150 favorite, and we'd risk 100 to win 150 on a +150 underdog.
It is important to not 'jiggle' the size of your bets. Check our
Index of Articles to learn about this and other important
differences that can make all the difference between success and failure.
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